3/30/2021 0 Comments By The Inevitable Crack
In the last race, Joseph Lieberman was in the teens at this point while Walter Mondales numbers in the 1984 Democratic primary were comparable to Hillarys now.Does he want Hillary backers to think of her as the Mondale of 2008 Sure, Mondale got the nomination but.
Ive taken the quote marks off the words incumbent and inevitable above to make that clearer. With two quarters of 2007 behind us and just 6 months to go until the Iowa caucuses it is a good time to see where Hillary stands and why. The bottom line Hillarys electoral strength has grown in the last quarter and she is better positioned today than ever before to become the next President of the United Sates. Recent polls have her at or near 40 with leads of 15-20 points over her nearest competitors. Voters yearn for change and they say that Hillary has the strength and experience to actually bring about that change. Hillarys message: that her strength and experience will bring real change that America needs, is resonating strongly with voters. Despite unprecedented early publicity for all the candidates, Hillarys support in the last few months has strengthened nationally, in key states and in the general election. This improvement has occurred as voters have learned more about all of the candidates. In other words, as all the candidates name IDs have increased, so has Hillarys lead. She won the debates overwhelmingly and they are a key indicator of how this race will play out in the next 6 months and in the general election. There will be another debate every month from now until the end of the year, and each debate provides Hillary with another opportunity to demonstrate her experience, talk about her record on the issues, and show voters why she is the person best qualified to be president. In the latest Newsweek poll, which fielded after the 2nd quarter fundraising numbers were released, Hillarys lead in the Democratic primary nearly doubled from 12 points in May to 23 points now. Hillarys favorability has risen to 57 among all Americans, and they say overwhelmingly she has the experience to be a good president (70). Nearly two-thirds say there is a good chance or some chance they will vote for her (62). In the general election, Hillary leads top Republican Rudy Giuliani by seven points (51 percent to 44 percent) in the last Newsweek poll, up from just three points a month ago. And Hillary is tied or ahead of Giuliani in key battleground states which Democrats lost in both 2000 and 2004, including Florida, Ohio. The numbers are splashy and significant but not sufficiently broad-based to capture a nomination. Hillarys support is highest among key voter groups who make up the core of the Democratic coalition: women, Hispanics, African-Americans, strong Democrats and lower, middle-income and working families. Her lead in the Democratic primary widens to 29 points among non-whites. Every major poll shows Hillarys lead increasing in the Democratic primary. In the Real Clear Politics average of recent polls, Hillary has a 14.3 percentage point lead, a widening of 5.5 percentage points in the last 3 weeks.
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